• Egypt and Indonesia each expect to import around 13 million tonnes of wheat in 2025/2026.
• Egypt’s demand remains structurally high due to population growth and subsidized bread consumption.
• Both countries could account for nearly 12% of global wheat trade, reinforcing their strategic weight.

Egypt and Indonesia will compete closely for the position of the world’s largest wheat importer in the 2025/2026 marketing year. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) expects both countries to import about 13 million tonnes of wheat by the end of the campaign in June.

This projection places the two nations at the top of global demand and highlights their growing influence in international grain markets.

Egypt ranks as Africa’s largest wheat consumer and the world’s sixth-largest overall. The country would set a new import record if it reaches the projected volume, following two