• Morocco targets 200,000 tons of olive oil in 2025, up from 90,000 tons in 2024.
• Better weather conditions expected to push olive harvests to 2 million tons.
• Sector eyes exports, helped by new U.S. tariffs that favor Moroccan producers.

Morocco’s olive oil industry expects to produce 200,000 tons in 2025, more than double last year’s 90,000 tons, according to projections by the Moroccan Olive Interprofessional Federation (Interprolive) reported by Le Matin on September 14.

The forecast is based on an anticipated olive harvest of 2 million tons this year, compared with 950,000 tons in 2024. Interprolive president Rachid Benali pointed to favorable weather conditions in 2025. A member of the Zaouia Cooperative in Marrakech told Médias24 that this year’s cold spells were adequate and the flowering period coincided with ideal weather, unlike the heatwaves of the past two years.

With annual domestic consumption of olive oil near 140,000 tons, the sector could generate an exportable surplus of 60,000 tons in 2025.

Moroccan producers are also becoming more competitive in the U.S., the world’s largest olive oil importer, after new tariffs introduced in August by President Trump. While Morocco and Argentina face a minimum duty of 10%, key European suppliers Spain, Italy, Greece, and Portugal are taxed at 15%, and Tunisia and Turkey at 25% and 15% respectively.

In 2024, Morocco exported about 3,835 tons of olive oil worth $38.37 million to the U.S., representing only 1.2% of the $3.3 billion American import market, according to Trademap. Beyond the U.S., Morocco also exports olive oil to the European Union.