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Trump Threat Sparks Brief Decline in Nigerian Sovereign Bonds

Trump Threat Sparks Brief Decline in Nigerian Sovereign Bonds
Thursday, 06 November 2025 12:57
  • Nigerian eurobonds fell slightly after Donald Trump threatened military intervention.
  • The 2051 eurobond dropped 0.5 cent before recovering, trading just below 92 cents per dollar.
  • Analysts expect limited market impact as investors remain confident in Nigeria’s reforms.

Nigerian sovereign bonds slipped slightly on Monday following remarks by U.S. President Donald Trump, who threatened possible military intervention in Nigeria to, as he stated, “protect Christians.”

Long-dated bonds were the most affected, with the 2051 eurobond losing about 0.5 cent before recovering part of the losses to trade just below 92 cents per dollar. The decline contrasted with the relative stability observed across most emerging markets.

In a message posted on November 2, 2025, Trump said the United States could deploy troops or conduct airstrikes in Nigeria to stop what he called a “mass slaughter of Christians”.

The Nigerian government responded cautiously, saying it would welcome U.S. assistance in combating Islamist armed groups but only “in full respect of its sovereignty and territorial integrity.”

Nigeria continues to face multiple security challenges, including insurgencies in the northeast, armed banditry in the northwest, and farmer-herder clashes in the central region. The Armed Conflict Location & Event Data (ACLED) project recorded more than 3,500 civilian deaths in the country last year.

Analysts believe the market impact will remain contained, noting that the initial drop has already been partly corrected, according to Ecofin Agency. The regions mentioned in Trump’s comments are far from Nigeria’s key economic hubs, including the southern oil-producing zone and the commercial capital, Lagos.

Foreign investors remain confident in Nigeria’s outlook, supported by President Bola Tinubu’s economic reforms, including the removal of fuel subsidies and the liberalization of the exchange rate. Nigerian stocks have risen about 65% since January, making the Lagos market one of Africa’s best performers.

At this stage, Donald Trump’s remarks are seen more as a political warning than a lasting risk factor, according to a European fund manager.

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