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CFA Zone Emerges as Core Stabiliser On Foreign Currency Exposure for UBA, in H1 2025

CFA Zone Emerges as Core Stabiliser On Foreign Currency Exposure for UBA, in H1 2025
Friday, 26 September 2025 12:26
  • UBA’s CFA zone subsidiaries offset naira weakness, delivering a consolidated gain of ₦364bn ($ 243 million) from a 10% depreciation, while the Nigerian parent alone posted a ₦33bn loss.
  • The CFA franc peg to the euro provides rare monetary stability, making Côte d’Ivoire and Cameroon key anchors compared with more volatile markets such as Ghana and Kenya.
  • UBA’s risk balance has shifted structurally: the Nigerian parent carries a short FX position, but the growing weight of CFA-zone assets maintains group resilience.

According to its financial statements for the six months to June 30, 2025, United Bank for Africa (UBA) reported that a 10 percent depreciation of the naira would deliver a net consolidated gain of ₦364 billion ($243 million). By contrast, the Nigerian parent entity – still the group’s principal base – would post a loss of approximately ₦33 billion. The difference highlights how subsidiaries in the CFA franc zone have become the group’s primary stabilizing force against currency shocks.

Since mid-2023, the naira has lost more than 70 percent of its value, tumbling from around ₦460 to the dollar to nearly ₦1,600 by late September 2025. For a lender whose Nigerian operations still account for roughly 70 per cent of total assets, such volatility represents a fundamental vulnerability. The CFA zone now provides the counterweight.

UBA has long disclosed sensitivity analyses showing that naira weakness can generate group-level accounting gains, which have historically been driven by foreign currency positions denominated in US dollars. However, in the first half of 2025, the CFA zone has clearly assumed this role, becoming the stabilizing pillar of the balance sheet.

Subsidiaries in Côte d’Ivoire, Cameroon, and other CFA markets now carry increasing weight in the consolidated accounts. Their assets, denominated in CFA francs, are translated into naira at the end of the period. Each decline in the naira, therefore, inflates the naira value of these holdings. Because the CFA is pegged to the euro, this anchor offers a consistency absent in Ghana, where the cedi has endured hyperinflation, or in Kenya, where the shilling remains volatile.

The change has also enabled a strategic shift in Nigeria. The parent bank now holds a short foreign-currency position, something that might once have appeared risky. Today, it is buffered by the reliable contribution of CFA subsidiaries, reducing the need for costly hedging instruments. Other subsidiaries like Ghana, are also contributors, but the Cedi is still too fragile to be a sustainable support

The trajectory has been sharp. In 2022, a 10 per cent depreciation of the naira translated into gains of only a few tens of billions of naira. By 2024, the figure rose to ₦84 billion. In 2025, it reached ₦364bn, over four times higher, reflecting both the naira’s collapse and the consolidation of CFA-zone assets.

As a result, the CFA zone no longer merely diversifies UBA’s footprint; it also enhances its presence. It now acts as the silent guardian of the group’s financial equilibrium, cushioning Nigeria’s volatility and lending the bank a rare resilience among pan-African peers. These figures provide an additional perspective on why Nigerian banks, such as Access Bank or Zenith Bank, are keen to expand into CEMAC or WAEMU, already tight markets.

Idriss Linge

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