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Nigeria Power Output Rises to 4,300 MW but Still Far Below National Demand

Nigeria Power Output Rises to 4,300 MW but Still Far Below National Demand
Tuesday, 14 April 2026 16:57
  • Nigeria’s electricity generation rises to 4,300 MW in early April from 3,951 MW in late March.

  • Gas supply to power plants increases from about 605 million to over 704 million cubic feet per day.

  • Installed capacity stands at 13,625 MW, but only about 4,089 MW remains effectively available.

Nigeria increases its electricity generation to 4,300 megawatts in early April, up from 3,951 MW at the end of March, according to a statement from the Federal Ministry of Power published on April 12. The government records the increase between March 28 and April 10.

The authorities attribute the improvement to stronger gas supply to thermal power plants. Gas volumes delivered to the power sector rise from about 605 million cubic feet per day to more than 704 million cubic feet per day over the same period.

The government implements operational adjustments across the power sector to sustain output gains. Authorities strengthen monitoring of gas supply chains dedicated to electricity generation. They also establish coordination mechanisms between the gas and electricity sectors to track flows and reduce disruptions.

“Despite slight daily fluctuations, the overall trend indicates a gradual recovery of the electricity sector, largely driven by improved gas supply and better coordination among key actors,” the official statement says.

Structural Weaknesses Continue to Limit Supply

These short-term gains occur alongside persistent structural constraints in the power sector. According to the Operational Performance Factsheet published on April 10, 2026, by the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), Nigeria holds an installed generation capacity of 13,625 MW. However, the regulator reports that the average plant availability factor stands at 30% in March 2026. As a result, average available generation capacity limits itself to 4,089 MW.

At the same time, authorities highlight ongoing financial imbalances in the sector. The government issues a first bond of 501 billion naira ($300–330 million) under the Presidential Power Sector Debt Reduction Programme launched in January 2026.

On the planning side, the Nigeria Integrated Resource Plan published in 2025 by the Federal Ministry of Power outlines a long-term expansion strategy. The document projects total generation capacity reaching 111 gigawatts by 2045. It also sets a target for renewables to account for 75% of the national power mix.

This article was initially published in French by Abdel-Latif Boureima

Adapted in English by Ange J.A de Berry Quenum

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