Tunisia’s government is planning a state budget of over $25 billion for 2025, with an economic growth target of 3.2%. The forecast relies on an estimated Brent crude oil price of $77.4 per barrel to support this growth.

Prime Minister Kamel Maddouri shared last week that the government expects a 5.7% increase in budget revenues for 2025. He spoke before the Assembly of the People’s Representatives (ARP) and the National Council of Regions and Districts (CNRD).

Local news outlet La Presse reported that the country expects revenues to reach about 50 billion dinars ($16.03 billion), a rise from 47.3 billion dinars in 2024. The government plans for domestic resources to make up 63.9% of the total, compared to 62.5% last year. To help cover the budget, the government also plans to raise around 28 billion dinars in debt—21.8 billion dinars in domestic debt and 6.1 billion dinars from external sources.

Public spending is expected to reach 59.8 billion dinars, with key priorities including salaries, which account for 40.8% of the budget, and subsidies—mainly for fuel and essential goods—that make up 19.4% of spending.

Even with ongoing economic challenges, Tunisia’s leaders are committed to revitalizing the economy. The total state budget for 2025 is set at 78.2 billion dinars, slightly above the estimated 77.8 billion dinars for 2024. The government is relying on a stable dinar exchange rate and steady global commodity prices, as Maddouri emphasized.

The government also plans to continue tax reforms, aiming to broaden the tax base and include the informal sector while optimizing spending. They also plan to boost growth through non-tax revenues and faster execution of public and private projects.

The country is projecting a GDP growth rate of 3.2% in 2025, up from 1.6% this year, with the expected support of a Brent crude oil price averaging $77.4 per barrel.